Oregon
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 81.7838Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 12-11 214 N Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast (10- 8, 72.4) 16- 5 216 A San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 12-10 219 H California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 9-14 222 H Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 9-12 228 H UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 10- 9 304 H Delaware State Northeast ( 0-17, 59.7) 20- 3 309 H Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 15- 1 314 H Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 7-15 321 H Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 3-17 326 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 2-20 329 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 3-16 404 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 9-21 409 A Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 9-19 412 A Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 7-21 418 H Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 10-15
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Arizona State 12-11 1 -4 ++ 4.80
214 N Fairleigh Dickinson 16- 5 11 9 1.62
216 A San Diego State 12-10 2 1 1.19
219 H California 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.34
222 H Eastern Michigan 9-12 -3 4 --- -6.64
228 H UC Davis 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.37
304 H Delaware State 20- 3 17 23 0.00
309 H Kent State 15- 1 14 7 +++ 6.71
314 H Maryland 7-15 -8 -11 + 2.50
321 H Northwestern 3-17 -14 -14 -0.24
326 A Ohio State 2-20 -18 -10 -- -4.32
329 A Michigan 3-16 -13 -14 0.50
404 H Johns Hopkins 9-21 -12 -11 -0.93
409 A Penn State 9-19 -10 -13 + 2.93
412 A Rutgers 7-21 -14 -10 - -3.53
418 H Southern California 10-15 -5 -3 -1.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Eastern Michigan 9-12 -3 4 --- -6.64 219 H California 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.34 326 A Ohio State 2-20 -18 -10 -- -4.32 412 A Rutgers 7-21 -14 -10 - -3.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 H Kent State 15- 1 14 7 +++ 6.71 207 H Arizona State 12-11 1 -4 ++ 4.80 228 H UC Davis 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.37 314 H Maryland 7-15 -8 -11 + 2.50 409 A Penn State 9-19 -10 -13 + 2.93 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 12-11 -12.95 27.22 -1.37 1.08 55.97
3 N Fairleigh Dick (10- 8, 72.4) 16- 5 -27.50 12.67 -0.00 1.08 27.43
3 A San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 12-10 -20.30 19.87 1.37 1.08 45.99
3 H California ( 6-11, 82.8) 9-14 -17.08 23.08 -1.37 1.08 -9.99
3 H Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 9-12 -20.39 19.78 -1.37 1.08 -11.78
3 H UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 10- 9 -15.38 24.79 -1.37 1.08 50.72
3 H Delaware State ( 0-17, 59.7) 20- 3 -40.17 1.00 -1.37 1.08 -0.80
3 H Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 15- 1 -24.04 16.12 -1.37 1.08 31.96
3 H Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 7-15 -6.24 33.92 -1.37 1.08 -4.12
3 H Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 3-17 -2.98 37.18 -1.37 1.08 -2.36
3 A Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 2-20 -9.80 30.36 1.37 1.08 -4.57
3 A Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 3-16 -5.98 34.19 1.37 1.08 -2.50
3 H Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 9-21 -5.68 34.49 -1.37 1.08 -3.81
3 A Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 9-19 -6.55 33.61 1.37 1.08 -2.81
3 A Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 7-21 -9.02 31.15 1.37 1.08 -4.14
3 H Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 10-15 -13.37 26.80 -1.37 1.08 -7.98
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157.23
|
winning pts = 211.2744 losing points = -54.0487
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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